2025 NFL Draft • Page 65

Kiper's newest mock has Tet going to Denver at 20.


Should I even get my hopes up or nah?

 

No chance lol

 

I get the feeling he’s going to go later than everyone thinks. It seems like fans are higher on him than teams.

 

My thing is, I don’t really care how great you are at contested catches….if you lack the ability to get open and aren’t very explosive, you will probably get eaten up in the league. Maybe I’m underestimating his ability to create separation but in my admittedly limited research, I don’t see it.

I’m not saying he will be a bust or anything. I just don’t see the WR1 of a draft class type player.

Give me Egbuka, Golden, or maybe even Burden over him.

 

nope I've been saying this repeatedly haha

 

I mean I like Tet too, but he sounds an awful lot like Devante Parker did coming out

 

*eyes glaze over like the guy from Dune*

The best start regarding ability to separate - aside from actually tracking the yards of separation - is percentage of contested targets. Tet has a career rate of 24.9% and a final season rate of 23.1%. 33 out of 400+ players hit both those marks.

Alec Pierce
Antonio Gandy-Golden
Bub Means
Casey Washington
De'Corian Clark
Denzel Mims
Devin Carter
Dyami Brown
Elic Ayomanor
Grant DuBose
Hakeem Butler
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
Jackson Meeks
Jake Bobo
Jalen Camp
Ja'Marr Chase
Johnny Wilson
Jonathan Adams Jr.
Joshua Palmer
Keon Coleman
Luke McCaffrey
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Michael Wilson
Nico Collins
Quentin Johnston
Quintez Cephus
Roc Taylor
Seth Williams
Tetairora McMillan
Tylan Wallace
Will Shepard

So two guys in Tier 3 or better, two of whom were pure alphas in college that drew an insane amount of attention (Chase to the point that Terrace Marshall got drafted in the second lol) and the third is Nico Collins who went in the third.

 

That list isn’t convincing me he’s worthy of a top 20 pick tbh lol

 

it wasn't meant to haha

 

START

 

ok

 

like he has to eat sure not sure that's news

 

I'm a Tet believer, but this list makes me...less so? I mean, what are the odds he's Ja'Marr Chase and not JJ Arcega-Whiteside?

Unless I'm misunderstanding the stat, basically of the players who have that high of a contested catch rate, only 12.5% of the, are any good really?

 

“Team without quarterback researches potential quarterbacks.”

 

no no not CATCH rate - TARGET rate.

 

So...a larger share of his targets are contested vs. his contemporaries?

 

SAME STREETS, NEW SAYING

Most Popular Picks:

1. Mason Graham to Jax (17)
2. Cam Ward to Tennessee (15)
3. Ashton Jeanty to Las Vegas (15)

Least Popular Picks:

1. Kenneth Grant to Arizona (3)
2. Matthew Golden to LAC (3)
3. James Pearce Jr. to Detroit (3)

And then my current predictions:

 

I just do not see how Cleveland in good conscience can pass on a QB at 2 and do the Kenny Pickett reclamation tour

 

Yeah so basically if a large portion of his targets like that are thrown into coverage, it's almost always an indicator of poor separation.

 

Where were they when Danny Etling was coming off a Super Bowl win lol

 

Oh okayyyy See I thought you were saying it as a defense of him like he's actually a good separator and I was like "I MUST be misunderstanding this."

 

All the national guys seem split on it. Lot of the regional ones too. Could just be people creating a narrative cause of their new OC but I've been seeing some Jalen Milroe to Cleveland takes that are swaying me a little